This is unrealistic hopium, and deep down you probably know it.
There's no such thing as models that are "good enough". There are models that are better and models that are worse and OS models will always be worse. Businesses that use better, more expensive models will be more successful.
> Businesses that use better, more expensive models will be more successful.
Better back of house tech can differentiate you, but startups history is littered with failed companies using the best tech, and they were often beaten by companies using a worse is better approach. Anyone here who has been around long enough has seen this play out a number of times.
> startups history is littered with failed companies using the best tech, and they were often beaten by companies using a worse is better approach.
Indeed. In my idealistic youth I bought heavily into the "if you build it, they will come," but that turned out to not at all be reality. Often times the best product loses because of marketing, network effects, or some other reason that has nothing to do with the tech. I wish it weren't that way, but if wishes were fishes we'd all have a fry
Sometimes the best tech is too early and too expensive.
Most tech hits a point of diminishing returns.
I don't think we're there yet, but it's reasonable to expect at _some point_ your typical OS model could be 98% of the way to a cutting edge commercial model, and at that point your last sentence probably doesn't hold true.
There is cost/benefit analysis yes but fundamentally there are no diminishing returns because intelligence does not have diminishing returns.
One of the key concepts in the AI zeitgeist is the possibility of superintelligence. There will always be the possibility of a more productive AI agent.
There is a sweet spot, and at 100k per dev per year some businesses may choose lower priced options.
The business itself will also massively develop in the coming years. For example, there will be dozens of providers for integrating open source models with an in-house AI framework that smoothly works with their stack and deployment solution.
I agree. It isn't in the interest of any actor including openai to give out their tools for free.
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