As a Nobel Prize winner, I am surprised that you have not noticed how Tao and Gowers were steering everyone in the AI direction for years and now do damage control by nudging everyone to either hypothetical open models paid for by industry or the EU or sitting in a committee that "advises" OpenAI.

No one is saying "Perelman and Wiles didn't need that silly AI and N-S was more of a counterexample". Most people imagine the sky is falling.

What if OpenAI is stalling because they don't have 100 additional unpublished proofs as claimed?

> As a Nobel Prize winner, I am surprised that you have not noticed how Tao and Gowers were steering everyone in the AI direction for years

I did notice, this is why I had thought that they had thought through the consequences. But, unfortunately, it is likely they imagined that AI would plateau somewhere around the "smart undergraduate" level and that they will stay relevant in pure problem solving.

Was there really a choice? What they do or advised others to do would have had no bearing on what is happening.

And why have the Nobel Prize winners been silent (or taken post-Nobel bets contrary to the current consensus ie Hinton-Hassabis)?

Taking GP at his word, I'd be more terrified if Oai had identified one hundred NEW open problems..

In contrast with Fields Medallists, some Nobelists get the prize for something they'd eventually NOT be (in)famous for. Like Josephson. In hindsight, will it be because they found out, as young unknowns, how to explore underappreciated avenues without millions in dedicated funds (uh encouragement).. ??

GP, did you? Get the prize for the question you are most proud of.

> What if OpenAI is stalling because they don't have 100 additional unpublished proofs as claimed?

Which is what I think a large chunk of AI progress actually is - people taking the latest models out for a spin, and browbeating them to actually ship code, and RLHFing them to ship better code in the process, either directly or indirectly through Github.