Endurance going down is hardly a surprise given that the feature size has gone down too. The same goes for logic and DRAM memory.

I suspect that 2035 years time, hardware from 2010 will work, while that from 2020 will be less reliable.

Completely anecdotal, and mostly unrelated, but my NES from 1990 is still going strong. Two PS3’s that I have owned simply broke.

CRTs from 1994 and 2002 still going strong. LCD tvs from 2012 and 2022 just went kaput for no reason.

Old hardware rocks.

Specifically old Japanese hardware from the 80s and 90s - this stuff is bulletproof

For what it's worth my LCD monitor from 2010 is doing well. I think the power supplied died at one point but I already had a laptop supply to replace it with.

As far as I'm aware flash got a bit of a size boost when it went 3D and hasn't shrunk much since then. If you use the same number of bits per cell, I don't know if I would expect 2010 and 2020 or 2025 flash to vary much in endurance.

For logic and DRAM the biggest factors are how far they're being pushed with voltage and heat, which is a thing that trends back and forth over the years. So I could see that go either way.