As far as I'm aware flash got a bit of a size boost when it went 3D and hasn't shrunk much since then. If you use the same number of bits per cell, I don't know if I would expect 2010 and 2020 or 2025 flash to vary much in endurance.

For logic and DRAM the biggest factors are how far they're being pushed with voltage and heat, which is a thing that trends back and forth over the years. So I could see that go either way.