> "Defund the police" was never actually tried
Isn’t this a No True Scotsmen problem?
Police budges were trimmed. Police forces were cut. Police remit, in the form of decriminalisation, was reduced. No jurisdiction abolished law enforcement (though San Francisco de facto got close). But I’d say those count as defunding the police to an extent.
Even then, we got disaster. Shockingly quickly. Shockingly powerfully. There is no threshold theory that suggests you get magical results cutting the police force by 30% instead of 3%; it’s thus reasonable to extrapolate and assume you get more of the bad.
> No jurisdiction abolished law enforcement (though San Francisco de facto got close).
What year did that occur on their budget chart?
https://x.com/chrisarvinsf/status/1399863666938310663
De facto, not de jure. SFPD went AWOL for a few months. One can’t complain about that and then claim it would be better if they were fired.
(Also, your own chart shows a ‘20 dip.)
“De facto abolition of policing” or “dip”? Pick one!
Cops throwing a tantrum over a dip would seem to prove a point, too.
> Isn’t this a No True Scotsmen problem?
No, this is a "this didn't actually happen."
> Police budges were trimmed. Police forces were cut.
Where were police budgets trimmed and forces cut? They weren't; that's the crucial thing you're describing that did not happen. Otherwise, I agree -- lots of reform changes that sounded good on paper led to bad outcomes. But there's no need to inaccurately call other reforms "defunding."
> Where were police budgets trimmed and forces cut?
NYPD’s budget was slashed by over 5% [1]. It was restored by ‘22.
[1] https://cbcny.org/research/was-nypd-budget-cut-1-billion