Education and intellectual work isn't really worth anything if AI succeeds, so keep in mind that anything you're teaching is a hedge against AI stalling or collapsing.

We're moving more slowly on physical robotics in varied environments, so it's going to take a while before we automate reaching under the sink and turning a knob. Or maybe your kids will have a bright future in janitorial work, who knows?

> Education and intellectual work isn't really worth anything if AI succeeds

I feel like this is a crazy take. Smart (and motivated) people are better at adapting to a different world than not smart people.

If we have working AI, I'll be able to ask it what I should do to adapt.

i think this is a bit naive unless youre letting a neural interface run opus 12.6 and shutting down the rest of your brain to redirect energy towards local compute.

smart people are better at taking action based on directive than not smart people (im assuming).

Yes, a little bit of intelligence would be necessary to follow directions, but not much education. We were discussing education.

lmao

By the time they reach adulthood this aspect of robotics will be solved. I give it about 5 years.

But if AI “succeeds” then everyone that used to hold a job that has now been replaced would flood the blue collar market. I am not so sure that is such a bright future either.

Oh no, the enormous amounts of deferred maintenance that everyone puts off is now cheap enough to do! Oh no, we have stronger incentives to build and employ blue collar workers! Oh no! The horror!

If far more Americans learn to do blue collar stuff, it will devalue the massive amounts of scammers, charlatans, grifters that we see in these professions. Construction has literally significantly declined in real productivity since the 80s. Racists say it’s cus of immigrants doing the building. I think it’s because of grift, fraud, and greed.