I just very strongly suspect it. There will be a plateau but a few years after, that, too, will be surpassed.

We are extremely early in the history of AI and even the history of LLMs. I'd easily make a bet with anyone on that.

AI research started in the 1950s, and has always led to AI winters as promising areas of research peak.

I suspect they are stealing your data when you install the apps, but if these companies are acting legally and not doing that, I can see no way they can avoid model collapse now that the internet is mostly unusable slop.

Wanna make a bet with me on where the models will be at by 2030 when it comes to software development as well as most other white collar labor

I'd rather see your reasoning.

The current pace of advancement and the fact that fresh writing data will likely not be a requirement at all to continue accelerating. The pretraining paradigm no longer needs this.