https://arstechnica.com/space/2026/09/there-are-now-17000-sa... "It does indeed start to look pretty dicey by mid-century."

The report itself https://www.esa.int/Space_Safety/Space_Debris/ESA_Space_Envi...

About pricing: https://www.satellitetoday.com/launch/2026/09/17/the-era-of-...

If the report is predicting 100 years in the future, are we really "to the brink" now? Not to mention the decay time of these LEO is in months, hardly a kessler syndrome scenario.

The report says we will be in trouble in 10-20 years, not 100. Look under "collisions causing collisions". Debris from previous collisions increases the risk of future collisions.