> People will "verify" the picture by looking at the repost of a screenshot of the verification UI, not by verifying the original themselves.
True.
> raises the bar but could be bypassed with enough effort.
Anyone can spoof this.
Apple cannot stop spam iMessages. They can't stop someone from rendering their privileged UI inside a browser viewport. People copy and paste remote script executions from convincing captchas.
This whole provenance thing is a red herring. You agree with me, but there's truly not a single application for this that won't be exploited.