> Cracks are starting to appear. Open Ai and Anthropic are publicly asking for slowdown in AI research. Translation: We see this technology not being any more useful than what it is now, no AGI is coming
Predicting a usefulness plateau is absolutely wild given how fast AI agents have been improving at writing code this year. I have doubts about AGI but I think you’re making assumptions and translating it wrong. These two companies have always been asking for a slowdown from their inception, that’s not a new thing. It’s part marketing hype, but they both do want regulation to step in and slow down the competition, not because they see a usefulness plateau, but the opposite - the usefulness is growing so fast that they want to remain in control, and they are scared that working hard and competing will not be enough. Anthropic has also said out loud they think their competition (not just OpenAI) is not being responsible and they want the regulation so they can be the responsible shepherd, as AI gets more and more useful.
I agree with you generally, just an observation on coding specifically.
Have the models improved since Opus 4.x? I find the newer models are not better in my day job, maybe in one shotting mvp's and other tasks.
Not trying to argue your point, just intrested in the coding aspect, if the models were improving as fast as benchmarks I would expect capability improvements to be obvious, but talking to people and reading forums, it seems everyone has a different opinion.