> The one thing I will say, is that my experience of hardware engineers is very gatekeepy.

Stay away from Reddit and forums if you want to see where the open minded people are looking. There are a lot of communities where EEs are experimenting with newer technologies and sharing their results, with realistic appraisals of what can be done.

You also need to understand the history of autorouting technology for PCBs. Autorouters with auto layout have been around in many forms for years. Their output never compares to a skilled EE doing it manually. The gap between autorouter output and skilled operator output is even bigger than the gap between a good developer and average AI codegen slop.

I’m interested in this space, but even the Fable/Astra or dedicated tools like Quilter, Flux, and others have a very, very long way to go for boards more complex than simple hobby boards.

I do think this is going to be good for hobby people doing simple PCBs though

NP-hard problems are still NP-hard even with magical LLM pixie sprinkles. =3

If the magic LLM pixie sprinkles can brute force their way to a solution using viable heuristics and their training data, I will use them.

NP-Hard is NP-hard... "heuristics" in this case is just a euphemism for a fantasy cost-function to scam shareholders.

It is a named problem, and can't be misappropriated like the $9Tn worth of FOSS code "AI" scraped and compacted for isomorphic plagiarism tokens. =3

> NP-Hard is NP-hard... "heuristics" in this case is just a euphemism for a fantasy cost-function to scam shareholders.

I don’t know why you’re trying to make this so hard.

The problem is NP hard whether I do it or a machine does it.

I can still do a good job despite being NP hard. I believe a machine with enough compute will be able to, too.

Copying millions of other peoples work for a similar looking result excludes the design compromises every engineer must make during the process.

LLM don't think because it is not real "AI", and simply conflates every isomorphic vector search proximity output.

Auto-routers have existed for decades, and they do work in the trivial design cases... but are almost always a liability where design choices matter.

Best of luck =3

LLMs are not the same as auto routers that have existed for decades. They function completely differently and are capable of taking more context into account, all the way to fetching and reading data sheets and considering design compromises.

Sure, one is a conflated chaotic nonsense generator, and the other is a chaotic random walk local "fit" evaluator set by an now arbitrary cost function.

NP-hard is still NP-hard... and named problems are rarely solvable with naive approaches. Best of luck =3

The best solution might be NP-hard. However we don't need the best, we need one that is good enough, and that is more doable.

[deleted]

So, then how are today's pcb layout techs solving these Np-hard problems in your mind, armed only with Altium?

Simple: we aren't.

We can find local optima, but there's no real way to prove a given design is the best of all possible designs. We can only find designs which work and meet the given criteria.

One can prove that a design is correct, but it requires the same class of compute as an LLM to properly simulate. Circuit boards are hellishly complicated once you start simulating EM and RF responses.

As for how a good engineer does this, it's the same way pilots can fly helicopters: intuition. It's a skill built up from lots of reading the rules and theory, and lots of practice. One gets a feel for how the various fields and energies are moving.

Which, when you think about it, is just about how neural nets learn, isn't that neat?

I think the real answer here is that machine learning is absolutely capable of producing satisfactorily correct circuit boards. In principle. But I think the problem space is far too large for today's ML techniques and verification/iteration is just way too expensive. Maybe in another few years, I just don't think we have enough compute for it yet.

Only decades of standards compliance, workmanship training, and experience. Human beings are very good at spotting patterns in noisy jungles, and making rational design tradeoffs.

Auto-routers have been around far longer than even smartphones. Somewhat functional in the trivial problem domains, and always useless where design choices mattered.

Best of luck solving a named problem. =3

Computationally what’s the difference between a human and an LLM besides scale and speed? Trained humans are still using heuristics and shortcuts. Just because these are subconscious and only possessed by talented, trained professionals doesn’t make the skill computationally special.

LLM do not think because they are not real "AI", but it does copy the linear patterns people exhibit if statistically salient within the granularity of the higher dimensional vector search space proximity. Watermarking does skew the compaction slightly, but not far from resulting output patterns. =3

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Subservient_Chicken

I do think that slightly smarter LLMs and a good (although not perfect) autorouting algorithm could solve 99% of hobbyist's projects and simple industry boards, due to the repetition of those patterns in real life.

The LLM would learn the heiristics (example: data lines first, power lines later, etc.) and would request the autorouter to do that routing, then take the image output and request a different part (depth-first). If later no routing is posible with that configuration, after some retries it could try another way.

It wouldn't solve complex boards, and engineers are always needed for short comings (and even if not, for research), but I wouldn't say this is something different than poetry, music or pixel art, LLMs can imitate although most of the times in a uncanny way.

Every trace on a PCB is a traveling salesman problem with ballooning complexity.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Travelling_salesman_problem

While physics informed models do exist, they are still going to burn a lot of compute to generate failure modes people didn't know were possible. =3

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T4Upf_B9RLQ

Yes, the optimal solution won't be achievable, it will burn lots of compute and we need better simulations so that less errors are made (and will be made).

Still, if LLMs are capable of writing working code, art and solving math problems, they qre definitely capable of doing suboptimal routing (with some algorithmic aid)

>if LLMs are capable of

That is the leap in logic, as an LLM doesn't think/create/feel or understand. It simply copies billions of patterns, and finds the closest fit.

> writing working code,

You mean a compacted collage of stolen codified work from real people. It will require a continuous parasitic relationship of user data to remain coherent. Given the firms have already stolen everything, it is unlikely to improve much as weights are refined.

> art

Again, a statistical output of salient feature clusters mimicking a humans output is not a creative process. For example, a glass-blower only sees the glowing art-form in its true state before it is annealed into its final form. Or a painter undergoes a creative process to find meaning, and abandons the work when there is nothing left to add.

Emotional projection onto an algorithmic output is simply recognizing the millions of peoples aesthetic choices stolen, and compacted with some degree of lost granularity. It is peoples art forms, but no creative thought or intent behind the results.

> solving math problems,

LLM are very good at context search, but require persistent data streams to mine for weighting relevant vector proximity. Again, everything that could be stolen, has already been scraped.

Only user input data remains in a sea of slop, and the process is degenerative given most human chat-users appear to be losing 17% cognitive function. As people discover the intelligence campaign against users is not in their interest.. paying companies to rob you and your friends makes less sense.

Being a sentient turnip, I am probably unaware of such things. ymmv =3

> That is a leap in logic

It is not, it doesn't matter if a brain's neurons or a prediction algorithm managed to get the solution if it has done so in a (sort of) reliable way.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Duck_test

Errors are made by both machines and humans, so that's not a differenting factor.

What is clear is that the human element will be more valued on art as time goes on.

What were the chicken's thoughts on the Jacobian conjecture?

Finding a consistent pattern by conflating most papers, resolving a similar isomorphic vector search proximity result from an entire field of research.

LLM are very good at brute force context search spaces, and people see patterns in nonsense even when it is nebulous. Similar to the Newton's Apple story people are fond of telling each other. =3

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pareidolia

Explain how this is different from what humans do.

We all just muddle through life, predicting the next token. That's it. That's all there is. And it's enough.

>Explain how this is different from what humans do.

The same reason every human understands how Einstein brushed his teeth in the morning. Best regards =3

That logic is so goofy, I don't even think the Greeks had a name for it.

> Only decades of standards compliance, workmanship training, and experience

If that could solve NP-hard problems, computer science would be a very different field.

> Somewhat functional in the trivial problem domains, and always useless where design choices mattered.

This is laughable when you consider that semiconductor design is the least "trivial" problem domain, and it happens entirely in RTL. There's basically zero human intervention when it comes to layout: even floorplanning is being automated nowadays.

Fab standard cell libraries are already the practical optimization of their current capabilities, and even FPGA try to minimize routing proximity with various levels of success. However, there are again named problems that constrain what naive people can get away with....

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Clock_domain_crossing

> floorplanning is being automated nowadays.

Procedural generation or parametric design is not the same, as the behavior and constraints were rationally engineered by people.

LLM would simply look at the outputs during training, abstract it as looking similar to a potato-chip factory, and generate a nonsense answer some fool assumes is appropriate.

Humans are wired to see meaningful patterns in chaotic systems even when they aren't really there. Neuromorphic computing may create real "AI" someday, but it almost certainly won't be from LLM cults. =3

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pareidolia

They're also NP-hard for the humans doing the majority of the work currently, meaning that good enough heuristics dominate as it is.

Every trace on a PCB is a traveling salesman problem with ballooning complexity.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Travelling_salesman_problem

While physics informed models do exist, they are still going to burn a lot of compute to generate failure modes people didn't know were possible. =3

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=T4Upf_B9RLQ

Well, no, it's not.

If anything, it's closer to the bin packing problem. The cost function isn't expressed in terms of lowest cost between nodes, but instead fitting all of the traces with the lowest board layer count while still meeting stuff like EMI crosstalk guidelines. Then there'll be some traces that are very constrained (think DRAM or SERDES links) that have to be length matched, but those are pretty much invariably point to point links that already are heavily automated.

Traces being, say 20% longer than they need to be for an optimal solution doesn't really change the performance of the board in the vast majority of cases since they'll be some of the lowest resistance components of the netlist anyway, as well as the fact that the PCB is normally oversized for the number of traces needed as it fulfills structural/mechanical needs as well as the netlist needs.

And on top of that, because the optimal solution probably is NP-hard, once again, the industry doesn't look for optimal, only good enough. If layout techs in Altium were regularly solving NP-hard problems, computer science would be a different place. The only goal I see is to meet that bar without hiring layout techs.

>Traces being, say 20% longer than they need to be doesn't really change the performance of the board

Impedance matching requires you know what you are doing, and Altium will only take you so far. For the price, Altium/Protel has always been a poor deal for what you get software wise.

Even free Qspice (a more modern Analog Devices LTSpice) is a far better option:

https://www.qorvo.com/design-hub/calculators-simulation/qspi...

>the industry doesn't look for optimal, only good enough

Indeed, that is why your iPhone still weighs 3.7 kg. =3

> Impedance matching requires you know what you are doing, and Altium will only take you so far. For the price, Altium/Protel has always been a poor deal for what you get software wise.

Pretty much every high end board is designed under Altium. QSpice is a different tool for a different purpose.

And like I said, those few cases were the length actually matters tend to be heavily assisted with automation as it is.

> Indeed, that is why your iPhone still weighs 3.7 kg. =3

I guarantee you that an iPhone board isn't an optimal solution, simply good enough.

>I guarantee you that an iPhone board isn't an optimal solution,

DFM almost certainly guarantees an iPhone is both form, and cost optimized. Jobs was very clear early on in the product development that the EE work had to be miniaturized due to the energy density possible setting volumetric minimums on the battery technology at that time.

> simply good enough.

A common philosophy for people that make cost optimized low-end products. Some people love their 3.7kg phone, as it comes with a stylish shoulder strap. =3

Optimized != optimal

Optimal means there aren't any optimizations possible remaining.

Are you seriously going to suggest that there aren't any potential optimizations left in the iPhone's mainboard?

There are physical limits that are hit with any technology. =3

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sealioning

Magical LLM pixie sprinkles ... is that where magic smoke comes from?

Magic smoke is important, as it indicates a design parameter was exceeded.

I often recommend folks get a mini thermal camera for their phone... as inspecting for issues in electrical, hydraulic, or mechanical systems gets a fair bit easier/safer. =3

> Stay away from Reddit and forums if you want to see where the open minded people are looking. There are a lot of communities where EEs are experimenting with newer technologies and sharing their results, with realistic appraisals of what can be done.

Where are these communities?