> ... including the "novel" math solutions, all of which appear to just be "a composition of solutions humans have developed and documented elsewhere" upon deeper inspection.
But that is precisely what human mathematicians do, prove new theorems by combining ones proven earlier.
I don't see any fundamental difference in functionality between human intellectual contributions vs performant ML ones (LLM or otherwise).
Whenever we listen or read text we are also predicting the near future content.
Just like LLM's we sometimes correctly predict the next token or word, and sometimes incorrectly.
> The "something deeply wrong" part about AI, that even most technology enthusiasts evidently do not seem to grasp, is that it is still fundamentally a statistical model [...]
Imagine someone could pause the universe with a remote control, scroll back in time a little, press play again, and ask a slightly different question, etc.
In such a thought experiment one could also collect the probabilities for a specific human predicting a next word. Implicitly the brain also has a corresponding statistical model, regardless of the construction being visible or hidden. I.e. human intelligence is also fundamentally a statistical model, so the only thing that remains from your claim is that machines for some unmentioned reason don't possess any "real" intelligence or critical thought...
Is it possible that our aversion is simply driven by educational systems collectively and deeply ingraining into populations the idea that intelligence deserves the high costs commanded. Well of course this justifies higher wages towards the higher leadership positions, etc. Now it turns out that intelligence can be dirt cheap. We discover that the fact that "intelligence must be costly so don't question the costs of leadership" was never fundamentally true, so the real anger is this discovery of mismatch between the old claims which served to explain how every society that claimed to order itself and fill positions accordingly with "naturally pre-ordained individuals". Now we are seeing robots exceed average workers, for effectively a grain of rice.
New and interesting mathematics is done by inventing new definitions and fields, not just combining old theorems to prove new ones.
It's not that different, when a human proposes a better definition vis-a-vis a competing one for example, they would defend this by certain desiderata.
Often a mathematician or physicist will use their intuition to speed up the naive brute force of candidate well formed formula variations so that the desired properties emerge, postulating the existence of an intersection on multiple desiderata can in itself be viewed as a novel conjecture, to be proven or disproved.
A very basic (unimpressive) example for an example desideratum is regularity or compactness. the tau=2 * pi substitution does make a whole bunch of expressions more slightly more regular and compact. That is something objective and measurable on a system of theorems.
There is no mathematician's moat vis-a-vis machine learning at a fundamental level. There can be artificially sustained moat, if AI powers limit the distribution of say cryptographic advance capable models, in jurisdictions outside such AI powers, but even that would be expected to be fleeting and temporary...
I see this line of reasoning quite a bit and it’s a strange one to me. The arguer reduces the sheer complexity of human intelligence and language by saying “we are just running statistical models in our brains” and by doing so makes the leap that Llms are intelligent. It’s an incredible simplification of the human person, who has a deep inner life, a soul, desires, and a will.
I don’t think the aversion to llms as intelligent has to do with the economics of paying intelligent agents more. I’d argue that it’s more fundamental than that. Humans are incredibly complex, and the world of sharing invisible things called knowledge, and the intelligent persons consuming such things which has been going on for thousands of years is far more rich than these synthetic outputs.
When it comes down to it the ai has no inner life, its is dead. A useful coding tool sure. But I wouldn’t call it intelligent.
One side example is just how bad these llms are at artistry. Just saying whatever should statically come next is not good art—and the outputs show it.