The average hatching egg costs a few dollars. Can go as high as nearly $20 if it's something remarkably rare and useful in terms of breed/quality.
An egg takes 21 days to hatch.
Then it's 18-24 weeks to start laying their own eggs. That's ~$5-15 in feed over the period, maybe 40-50 pounds. There's utilities, labor, land, etc., but your incremental cost to add a hen if you have the space is minimal. My numbers won't reflect a lot of operators, as scale matters.
Out of a typical 1.5-3 year lifespan that had a startup cost of a few dollars per, paying back its return by about month 6-7, that's not too bad. It's only worth doing financially in this economy at ludicrous, arguably inherently inhumane scales, but that's what it is on paper.
Not quite the same path to course-correction as a silicon shortage.
Eventually 2028 and 2029 will come around and at some point today's data center builds will be (economically) full.
In addition to that there are extra fabs build and (for example) China can use the high margin to catch up with their processes without breaking the bank.
Which reversed in about 6 months and now eggs are are their lowest prices in nearly a decade.
The average hatching egg costs a few dollars. Can go as high as nearly $20 if it's something remarkably rare and useful in terms of breed/quality.
An egg takes 21 days to hatch.
Then it's 18-24 weeks to start laying their own eggs. That's ~$5-15 in feed over the period, maybe 40-50 pounds. There's utilities, labor, land, etc., but your incremental cost to add a hen if you have the space is minimal. My numbers won't reflect a lot of operators, as scale matters.
Out of a typical 1.5-3 year lifespan that had a startup cost of a few dollars per, paying back its return by about month 6-7, that's not too bad. It's only worth doing financially in this economy at ludicrous, arguably inherently inhumane scales, but that's what it is on paper.
Not quite the same path to course-correction as a silicon shortage.
The same thing will happen with RAM. A glut will come eventually. It might take a year, maybe two.
Isn't next year's capacity already sold out? Is there any reason to hope for significant additional capacity to come online during that term?
Eventually 2028 and 2029 will come around and at some point today's data center builds will be (economically) full.
In addition to that there are extra fabs build and (for example) China can use the high margin to catch up with their processes without breaking the bank.
We can dream. I would do unspeakable things with 512GB of RAM.
thank goodness the adults are in charge now