Why would "reasoning" be an emergent property of prediction?

Predict multiple outcomes, induct across them, refine.

There's a lot of reasoning in the training data.

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How do you predict without reasoning?

Where is the reasoning in linear regression?

Where is the reasoning in synaptic transmission?

There isn't, which is exactly the point: we do not yet understand the fundamentals behind reasoning.

Don’t we? We can build something which has all the output associated with reasoning.

I’d say we’ve figured out the fundamentals behind reasoning.

> We can build something which has all the output associated with reasoning.

Sure. A photocopier fed with a maths paper.

Flip a coin.

Why wouldn’t it?