Lmao I love their video with the idea that people will be able to do their hobbies while ai does their job.
Surely Alibaba is leading by example here by reducing work hours per week while keeping pay the same right? Right?
Lmao I love their video with the idea that people will be able to do their hobbies while ai does their job.
Surely Alibaba is leading by example here by reducing work hours per week while keeping pay the same right? Right?
That's the thing. Wny are companies like OpenAI/Anthropic/Alibaba/Kimi/Deepseek still hiring SWEs if their models have become so good?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jevons_paradox
Otherwise known as the "no shit Sherlock" principle
OpenAI can't even build Codex app (not cli) for Linux... I thought code was solved?!
Ironically it's Electron BS, so actually, Sol could probably build itself...
The models are good even by skeptics standard, it's just that evangelists are overselling the capabilities. If you understand the limits of LLMs not using them as a business is shooting yourself in the foot.
However, they are not at the point where they can effectively train themselves, nor did they are capable of researching their own method of learning. SWEs in mid-corps on my country are right now relegated to reviews and sanity check, basically babysitting the LLMs and making sure they're not spouting nonsense. If you think about it, that's basically QA and can also be delegated to another AI. If Bun's rust rewrite that they tout as fully LLM-led can pass the test of time in a year or so I think that's it.
I believe all that is now constrained by compute and capital, not tech.
The world never runs out of problem. There is so much work to do.
I mean its pretty obvious right? This models are not flawless and sometimes reach stupid conclusions so there needs to be some one who watches it. Thought i must say u are right. Every one of them pretends that this new model is gonna finally take ur jobs lol
There's infinite work to be done, so higher productivity makes people worth more. (Obviously this doesn't apply if AI can do everything but we're not there yet.)
The percentage of the population that needs to work will continue to go down because of aging and automation although you might not see it as a reduction of hours for a given individual employed person.
Already 38% of Americans aged 16 or older do not work and are not looking for work and yet are not dying from hunger or exposure. This would have seemed like a utopian dream to someone from the 1800s.
Source?
Being 16, 17 and 18 and not working is expected, given they are still at school. A good percentage of people aged 18 to 24 are studying full time.
This stat seems a bit misleading and doesn't support the "you can live and not work argument". How many of those people are retired? How many of those are under 18? How many of those simply cannot work? How many of those live at home or are on food stamp?
>is expected
... these days. 100 years ago you'd have a job at 12 in many cases, 14-16 if you were more lucky.
I'm not even talking about peasants from previous centuries.
But how is that possible? How can one survive without income barring homelessness, begging, prostitution, and other not so utopian options?
In the 1800s most families only had a single provider, so this percentage may have been higher back then than it is now.
the single providers were the children in the factories?
[dead]
Maybe you should ask AI to review your statistics and reasoning. A large amount of 16-22 year old kids are in school. And retirees 80+ are retired. I don't see how any of this is relevant to the idea of what would happen to the economy if there is an employment collapse. I don't know that this would also seem like a utopian dream to someone in the 1800s; I'm not sure what that means. I think someone from the 1800s would be surprised by a great many things and that statistic would probably be low on their list.
> I love their video with the idea that people will be able to do their hobbies while ai does their job...
Are you not already experiencing this? I think this is fairly common for people using AI now, though the time may not always go into hobbies or sports. It's common for me to setup Claude with an hour+ task while I catch up on housework, or while I'm getting ready in the morning.
In the last couple of weeks I've unfortunately had multiple family illnesses - it has been helpful to have Claude keep up with much of my product development programming work while I visit my mother in hospital and check on my father's recovery. I'm able to give more time to family without worrying that business progress isn't keeping up. The overnight Claude sessions while I'm asleep have been particularly helpful.
No I haven't had time to spend my afternoon rock climbing while ai generates documentation.
It's infinite work, I just did more work while codex was doing it's thing in the background.
We are in the golden period where this IS possible. Once it becomes the norm to "do something else while your agent works", we'll be asked to do more WORK while the agent works, rather than do hobbies/housework/nap/etc.
Before AI:
I have 10 tasks that take 1 hour each to do.
After AI:
I have 100 tasks that take 10 minutes each to do.
Same amount of time spent working, maybe even more stressful, just more productive.
So you were working 10 x 1 hour = 10 hours before.
And then you were doing 100 x 10 minutes = 100 / 6 hours = ~16 hours & 40 minutes.
My brain didn't work there.