"Scale" isn't a binary, it's a continuum. "Scales to 60K/s" can be 5 orders of magnitude more than one system needs and 5 orders of magnitude too small for another. Personally I'd knock the general "premature optimization" off the list of "most common developer errors" and put in its place "using techs with the wrong scaling factors". If you use something too small and you exceed its needs, the failure is obvious, but the other way around is a problem too. Bringing in the overhead and management issues of the super scalable techs, as well as their limitations they impose so that they can scale, to a system that would actually be better off with a richer model whose richness prevents it from scaling but would save a lot of effort is also a bad choice.

The ceiling of LISTEN/NOTIFY is small enough that you need to pay attention, and I personally like to have at least an order of magnitude of slack left over even after my most pessimistic load numbers are accounted for, but it's still plenty for a lot of projects, and the integration with the rest of the DB, its availability, its not being another service you have to devops, it's definitely not something that should be simply dismissed out of hand as an option. Even the original 2K/s number they cite is a lot of messages for some systems that are more properly measured in seconds per message.

I think if you expect to be under 60K/s and suddenly find yourself at 20K/s heading for 200K/s-- you have a better problem than if you built for 1M/s and actual load is 20K/s. The unexpected success of the former will pay for a lot of band-aids and scaling, while you're pretty stuck with the cost structure and upfront spent capital in the latter.

IMO one should design for actual anticipated scale with moderate margin, only exceeding this when it's relatively "free" to do so. (If you can buy bigger hardware for a few K, or if solutions are equivalent other than scalability, pick the bigger solution).

> 5 orders of magnitude too small for another.

Nitpick on an otherwise good post, but I don’t think there are very many 6billion RPS systems out there, and those that do exist are almost certainly using bespoke, purpose-built tools

Could be base 2. ~1.3M RPS is a lot higher than most will ever require, but still within the realm of possibility.

The highest I could think of is WhatsApp, which gets ~1.6 million RPS on average, and they use MQTT

Maybe there would be more if it were more straightforward to do so?

For reference, I've seen Visa marketing materials that suggest their network can do ~70k TPS. There are not very many systems one could conceive of that could do useful work 1/s for ~every human on the planet.

Fair.