Your perspective is a short arc. “Look what I can do now and look it made me way more productive.” I have no doubt it is true, you are on the up right now.
However thinking of the long arc is important to, even though it has no consequence for you right now. AI is a force multiplayer and scarily dangerous in the wrong hands. We can already see by these discussions how uncertain things are.
Just food for thought.
On the long arc is a better world: post-scarcity, accelerated advancement in important fields (such as medicine), and just general improvement in lifestyle for the greater global population. The primary scare is that the higher capabilities will be restricted to some small subset as most resources currently are today, but the increasing release of open models is helping to counteract that possibility.
Yes, I think agree with what you say. I think the future is still wide open, and I feel we must start thinking of what creates better results in the long run.
Yes, if the Cro-Magnons had guns they’d say “wow, hunting meat is WAY easier” and then experience massive-scale death in the future. But that kinda happened anyway in various places, just using much more primitive tools. Humans gonna human.
> AI is a force multiplayer and scarily dangerous in the wrong hands
You have to spell this out a lot more if you want to have credibility.
I’m not seeing anything in discussed here that seems scary.
Already real: Automated scams & deepfake pornography. You can deepfake a real time video call to look and sound like someone else. If you're used to entering passwords this is easy to solve, but it's already a billion dollar industry.
Moving into the future slightly: they're already getting decent at video games, and if they can win at Counterstrike they can probably also win at real-life Drone Warfare.
I'd say the risks are mostly still hypothetical, though. There's a ton of reading out there if you take that idea seriously, but I don't blame you if you dismiss it as being a bit too "Science Fiction"
I think the sibling comment shares some good examples. Maybe future drone armies is another one.
That you don’t see anything scary that’s your prerogative of course.
I've been on the up, and the down, the lull and the acceptance. AI as it stands today will bring destruction to the world we knew. However, that doesn't mean the end of the world. Rather a new beginning, and we get to shape what that might look like. Sadly, all signs point to medieval times and digital feudalism but at least we have history to fall back on. Until such time occurs, AI will continue to bring value to companies just perhaps not in the ways they expected. There's no "replace my business with a workflow" silver bullet and I think that's what was sold to them. The reality is closer to the ground. 65% usefulness is a pretty accurate score for me.
> force multiplayer
So a kind of Star Wars game?