> Lead with conclusion.

I would presume (perhaps falsely?) that an instruction like this would lead to the model presenting a conclusion not supported by the evidence, and potentially backtracking as it then tries to justify said conclusion.

Yes, if deliberation happens, the model should figure out what it wants to say during that phase; but if you're using auto mode, the model is not going to be doing any deliberating half the time. In those cases, the output blathering is the model's only chance for deliberation. It "thinks as it talks", per se.

Given that, I would advise a different approach: let it blather, but then get it to write you a conclusion at the end that the model can guarantee will obviate the need to read any of the blathering.

I.e. advise the model to add an "executive summary" to the end of any non-trivial-in-length response. With some wording to carefully navigate the model between "the summary is itself too long" vs "the summary acts more like clickbait, leaving out necessary detail such that it requires actually reading the blather."

Not sure exactly what that wording would look like. I imagine something like "write your postscript executive summary as if you were a senior CIA intelligence analyst summarizing ground-level reports into a daily digest for the Joint Chiefs of Staff. Take up as little of their time as possible, but ensure that any detail critical to decision-making is retained." (But that phrasing might only be useful if the model is delivering a certain type of response, and actively counter-productive otherwise. This kind of thing is delicate.)

Over hours of experimentation with various LLMs, I've found virtually any system prompt can cause unintended skewing of the model's output. Even just 5 to 8 short, direct words about length, tone or formatting can cause subtle yet significant changes in model output.

Longer, more detailed or conditional prompts always introduce an additional cognitive load as it checks every token it generates against the conditions. Making instructions more absolute (like: "Never do...") can increase the duration of compliance but at the cost of creating a significant center of attentional gravity. This can cause far more output distortion as the model devotes increasing portions of its attention budget to ensure compliance with a heavyweight requirement or prohibition. Every word in a global prompt is a trade-off between attention, compliance, drift, etc.

As someone used to thinking of computers as natural deterministic rule-followers, it's weird having to carefully wordsmith and A/B test even the simplest global prompts. It feels like coaxing a hyper-literal, emotionally sensitive, spectrum-ish toddler to comply but without being so strict it gets 'upset' or spirals into hyper-focusing.

This was a big concern for earlier models, but with modern CoT trained models they should be able to come to the conclusion entirely in the thinking trace.

You are absolutely correct. The second suboptimal part of the prompt is this:

> Trim introductions, repetition, generic reassurance, and optional background first.

It's not possible for the model to "trim" those before they've been output, so this is akin to telling it "not think of an elephant or even take the existence of elephants into consideration while solving this problem".

You may be discounting the tokens generated in the thinking trace but not included in the output to users.

Oh the number of time LLM will, for example, be giving me the list of bugs it found in code, when I ask it for a review, just to decide there’s no big half way through explaining it.

Yes this is an extremely well known result for exactly the reason you guessed. It's not just abcktracking, asking an LLM to present a conclusion and then justify is also an excellent way to provoke hallucination as the model con concts "any justification that plausibly justifies the words it's already said".

This is the actual reason why openai _invented_ reasoning models, to give them time/space to work out a solution, rather than having to magic a correct solution out of thin air from token 1.

It's less important now that all models do reasoning, but it's still almost always better to make the output come out last rather than first.

I wonder if it would help to ask it to write a rough draft and then reorder it?

It would (and does), yes; but this takes a lot more output tokens than asking for a summary would. The summary approach is only helpful insofar as it can be cheaper than using the thinking model. (You're basically tricking the instant model into thinking, which it can do, after a fashion.)

But, unless your desired output is literally a document for others to read, at the point where you're having a model generate a full, lengthy output multiple times over with revisions, you may as well just turn off auto mode and have it always deliberate (i.e. choose the thinking model explicitly from the model selector.) Then it'll be as messy as it needs to be while deliberating, but give you exactly what you want as output.

(And if your desired output is literally a document for others to read, that you want to interactively draft and polish, then (in the case of ChatGPT specifically) you should not only be explicitly forcing the "thinking" model, but also should be asking it to activate the "canvas" feature from the start. My understanding is that revising a canvas document involves the model emitting something like editing gestures, rather than simply re-streaming the updated chunks of text. This saves a lot of output tokens on large documents.)

Why would auto mode turn off thinking?

The "auto" mode is (AFAICT) a per-conversation-turn router. (Presumably via a preliminary pass through a very fast tiny model that spits out an number for how challenging it thinks the next response might be to compute.)

On high-challenge turns, the auto mode routes to the "thinking" model. But on low-challenge turns, it routes to the "instant" model.

And the "instant" model, by design, has no capacity for deliberation. (If it did, it couldn't guarantee that its responses would begin streaming "instantly.")

I don't expect that would be the case. This is what's called BLUF or Bottom Line Up Front: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BLUF_(communication)

The model will still have read the entirety of the document before composing its response. And I believe that even in auto mode, there are thinking tokens behind the scenes.