Most of the people on HN thinking this stuff is garbage won't be working in tech in five years.
There simply won't be jobs for them.
The risk is that all of these very incredibly smart and disgruntled people decide to do something about it. Elite overproduction, but instead as a result of enormous shift in supply side economics.
Actually I am one of them, and I am thankful for the people who are true believers of AI marketing. Your payments and subscription keeps the LLMS free for people like me who use it as a better search and use it to learn a lot of new things that had no good documentation.
I don't worry about losing my job. I worry about becoming useless. If you know what I am saying..
If you do not pay for access to the latest models, your experience with AI is a 6-12 month lagging indicator as to current capabilities.
Therefore, it is impossible to have a conversation with you about AI capabilities, because you are anchored on a ceiling that we've long since exceeded.
I pay for codex & claude. Both out-code me but I'm a novice. Fable is really good and shockingly capable. But they're still dumb as hell in various ways. They're faster than the best humans but they are not better problem solvers, especially for novel stuff like implementing SOTA 3D boolean algorithms in Blender.
For now.
until the money runs out...
>these very incredibly smart
The incredibly smart ones are able to use AI to multiply their productivity. The ones having a bad time with it from vibe coding and vague prompting aren't that.
Is this "multiplied productivity" in the room with us right now?
I've built one $2.5 million annualized run rate company using Opus this year.
Four months of 50+% MoM growth. I couldn't have done that without the model giving me lots of time to do marketing. And build a complete feature set.
So yeah.
And the year is only halfway done.
I'm curious. What did you build? Sounds like you might have an interesting "Show HN" post on your hands
I'll believe it when I see it.
Can't you see there are many people strictly dumber than AI already? And that percentage is rapidly growing?
> There simply won't be jobs for them.
I simply don't agree with the doomer takes. Might be wrong. I'm kinda stupid yet here I am.
True, but not in the way you're thinking.