> In 2 years time, I would be surprised if the strongest LLMs are available for general use at all.

It would be too naive to suppose that the strongest LLMs are available to plebs now.

Fair enough, there _could_ be powerful models that are hidden from the general public, but I wouldn't call it "naive" to think the current capitalistic incentives are such that the only way to produce such models is to do exactly what we see out in the open with a handful of companies each trying their hardest to outcompete the other