Kindly drop the condescension. It is, in fact, possible for the world to get more dangerous over time. It is important to avoid falling into the trap of assuming that's inevitable.
> Ordinary people were able to do these things pre AI-- with some effort into study for sure.
Yes, and the amount of study and knowledge required had a tendency to filter out people with the inclination to do such things. The Venn diagrams weren't completely empty, but they were close, which is why such incidents were rare.
> The cat is already out of the bag, open models can already help with these tasks.
This is not binary. Open models can do these things. Frontier models can do them better. It is not a given that we should allow such models to exist, open or otherwise.
> Yes, and the amount of study and knowledge required had a tendency to filter out people with the inclination to do such things. The Venn diagrams weren't completely empty, but they were close, which is why such incidents were rare.
People do exercise their freedom and do terrible things all the time - it's not rare. There are lots of ways to cause harm that don't require any study or knowledge at all, we just seem hyper-focused on the possible "sci-fi" consequences of AI for some reason.
I would argue the reason people don't go and kill someone (or worse...) even more often than they do is not because it's difficult but because most people have no desire to cause that kind of harm, and because of the consequences to themselves of doing so.
So yes: technical difficulty put some kinds of harm out of reach of people, and AI can lower that barrier somewhat, but in the grand scale of "harm people can do" I think it's receiving undue attention.
And from a practical standpoint: how do you get from there to arguing that we should set some impossible-to-define threshold of "frontier" at which point it becomes so evil that we need to forcefully delete it from existence? Don't you see the problem with trying to put such black and white restrictions on something that's so inherently amorphous and slippery? (And by definition, if you delete the "frontier" model from existence then the next best model is now "frontier" ad infinitum...)
On top of that you have the issue that model weights are just information, so in some sense you're legislating the knowledge that is allowed to exist. That's quite a bit more draconian that current laws which usually focus on what knowledge you can share.
It is not a given that we should allow computers to exist, the risk of harm is too great.
It is not a given that we should allow vehicles to exist, the risk of harm is too great.
It is not a given that we should allow hammers to exist, the risk of harm is too great.
The argument, even if it weren't moot due to the cat already being long out of the bag, is recursive all the way back to the discovery of fire. As a species we already regulate things that can cause harm in ways that are commensurate with the potential for that harm. Some are regulated more, some less, depending on the region. But all these things exist regardless; you have to decide whether you're comfortable with elites and governments being the only people who should have access to this, especially given that they have a history of not keeping your best interests in mind, or whether it should be democratized and available to all (like most other tools in existence)
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