> On June 23, we’ll remove Fable 5 from those plans. Using it after that will require usage credits.

We've entered the phase where only companies will be able to afford state-of-the-art models.

These models are just tools. The economics of many tools only make sense for corporate buyers.

kind of disagree here. on the surface this makes sense, but this isn't "Adobe Pro vs Freemium version" where some tiny vertical slice of your business can be made slightly more efficient with a b2b enterprise plan. this is generalized intelligence and literally everybody can benefit from it in an immeasurable number of ways. i would go as far as to actually compare it more to water or air than a tool.

if only the hyper wealthy can access the pure water that doesn't give you cancer while the rest of us drink from the Ganges river/sub-100iq models that drool and hallucinate/waste time, then I would say that's pretty terrible for the world. it'll just create extreme disparity in our world, far far worse than anything that exists today.

and you may think, man what a ridiculous example, but think about it this way: what happens when something like Mythos or some future model can actually solve your specific cancer (we're getting closer and closer), but is entirely impossible to afford? Or perhaps you need boosters that require the AI to create more of, and now you're reliant on a model that is too expensive.

Open source needs to save us all from this

I’m entirely in agreement with this POV, but I’m also copacetic about it:

You could have said much the same about computers in the world dominated by IBM mainframes 60 years ago. Now we have vastly more powerful computers on our wrists (or our pacemakers!), let alone in our pockets or on our desks.

And Mark Zuckerberg has even more powerful computers which he uses to fuck everyone over.

As far as my understanding goes the bottleneck for what you are talking about is hardware not software, so open source won't help that much for the foreseeable future.

> and you may think, man what a ridiculous example, but think about it this way: what happens when something like Mythos or some future model can actually solve your specific cancer (we're getting closer and closer), but is entirely impossible to afford? Or perhaps you need boosters that require the AI to create more of, and now you're reliant on a model that is too expensive.

Isn't that already the case with current care? Wealthy people get a standard of care poor people couldn't even dream of. Rich people live, temporarily embarrassed millionaires die.

Not really. Medicaid coverage produces comparable cancer survival rates to private insurance when you account for selection effects:

https://news.cuanschutz.edu/cancer-center/connections-betwee...

but we’re going to get a 90% cost reduction in the next 18 months… right? Right guys? Sam Altman wouldn’t lie right?

most people can afford it for a few special projects now and then. but for me, I have been trying to avoid Opus as a daily driver for a couple of versions.

People making high-end salaries can afford Fable for critical parts of their projects though.

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I hear you, but with the hype surrounding Mythos the demand is going to be insane. I'm already hitting server errors in claude code.

Established companies welcome pricing that reduces the potential for competition, if coding is a primary barrier.

Just wait until that other company hard-codes Fable into silicon and then it will be cheaper.

It's not a conspiracy. There's a finite amount of compute available, and they will sell it to the highest bidder. If another company can produce the same intelligence for cheaper, then they will drive the price down.

Look at what Nvidia did to Gamers. Nvidia built its castle on the dead bodies of Gamers who supported and cheered for Nvidia.

Looks like a marxist revolution is soon going to be on the mind of a lot of programmers. We've finally reached the point where the "means of production" in software are back in the hands of the bourgeoisie. It was good while it lasted. But now that only the wealthy can afford access to the best models, software development is starting to look like most other industries, no longer a place where some dude from nowhere can build something cool from his basement because he will be competing with huge companies with unlimited access to those models.

Exactly, where are the organizers of this movement?

Do you want to kill them? :-)

Seriously, this movement already had its Marx - Richard Stallman. I think the "leaders" will appear over time, as with any socialist movement, they are naturally bottom up and leaders only appear after demands are formed in the zeitgeist. The (partly successful) socialist novement that brought social democracy to the West during cca 1920s - 1960s didn't really have leaders, it was a collective realization.

Collective self interest does not require active organisation.

Only companies can afford MRI machines, and that's okay.

Indeed. And that’s why the US has more than 3X the MRI machines per capita than Canada, where they’re all paid for by the state.

Guess we'll see what OpenAI does with their next model release -- but this move is doing nothing to get me to come back to Claude after switching away due to their reliability issues.

In a way I relish the opportunity to just make do with cheap Chinese models, massage my prompts, and go back to coding by hand. If this is how it's going to be, screw 'em.

I don't make money on the code I am writing right now. I really don't like where this trend might go.

Something I never thought I would utter: Here's hoping for china to surprise us.