I’ve been on this issue for a while now, models are not going to matter as much in the future. Pure energy cost will be the determining factor in who is most successful. The US just cannot build cheap energy the way other China can and at the scale that China will build it. 10 years from now it will be seen as the single source of advantage
> The US just cannot build cheap energy
Nuclear power anyone?
Cheap.
What is expensive in nuclear energy? Reason there is not more of nuclear reactors is not the cost, it is regulation. Regulation can be changed (it also seem to already have, recently, IIRC - starting 2024 NRC law changes by Biden admin and later by Trump admin)
Reason there is not more of nuclear reactors is not the cost, it is regulation.
The reason for regulation is that failure is not an option --- unless you're willing to accept making a big chunk of a state uninhabitable.
How much would failure cost? The Chernobyl exclusion zone is over 1000 square miles --- about half the size of Delaware. The Russian Academy of Sciences estimates that up to 1 million people may suffer premature death as a result of radiation exposure from the event.
In the long run, renewable energy is a lot cheaper.
Same as bitcoin then.
If the cost of software development falls so precipitously that energy costs are a driving factor, that implies so many other changes that I don't know how we can trust any analysis of what would happen.
You mean coal?