Or is it posible this administration just took a win-win-win position?
1 - US oil and gas companies make money as oil proces rise. The US is the largest producer in the world.
2 - China loses it's major source of oil and gas.
3 - Iran gets neutralized. It may not look like it now, but it will probably end up that way.
1 - A win for the shareholders of U.S. oil companies, close to half of which aren’t even Americans, but not a win for Americans even on a purely financial basis given that they are paying more for gas and food. 2 - China hasn’t lost its source of gas and oil. They have more reserves than the rest of the world put together and can outlast every other country, and they’re still getting shipments. 3 - The exact opposite of reality. Iran’s potential to acquire nuclear weapons was one of their biggest dangers for the rest of the world. But with this the U.S. has given Iran a new actual power that had been conjectured but never realized. Control over 20% of the world’s fuel supply and large percentages of other critical raw materials.
>US oil and gas companies make money as oil proces rise. The US is the largest producer in the world.
Its a win for me laughing at Americans spending more on oil based products.
>China loses it's major source of oil and gas.
Its like 12% of Chinas Oil. China is 90% of Irans oil market. I think people get this around the wrong way.
>Iran gets neutralized. It may not look like it now, but it will probably end up that way.
Why is death and economic destruction a good thing? Like 99.99999% of these effects are worn by iranian citizens, not their government.
Even if this analysis were accurate, I would feel much better if the administration had intentionally gone this route rather than accidentally blundering into it.
People can try to come up with 4D chess explanations for the Trump admin's actions here all they want, but the truth is this is 0D chess.
Just a massive strategic blunder, one for the history books.
Any minor damage to China is tiny compared to the strategic loss America has undergone here
You don’t permanently remove 20% of the worlds oil, 30% of the fertilizer while having a incredibly financialized economy and somehow get on the other side of it healthy and rich.
For one, this would be the end of the Petrodollar and with it the ability to have huge trade deficits siphoning more than 1 trillion in goods and services from the rest of the world in exchange for fancy green paper.
3 - Iran moderates are neutralized, so hardcore fanatics from IRGC take over. Loss for literally everybody.
Otherwise, 1) and 2) are true, Europe is bleeding through the nose with buying US oil and depending on its current antagonist, not smart long term situation that we need to move away asap.
Somebody in US government is making literal billions on shorts and various trade deals just before major announcements keep happening, those are not that hard to see in markets. Current top public bet on this is trumps family and his close coworkers, and their families. If you ever want a witch hunt on traitors and collaborators against US citizens and society, smart up, forget Wall street and just follow those money very directly to culprits.
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> who were against their daughters/sisters/mothers being arrested/raped/murdered when they don't properly wear hats
Have a look at some pics from Tehran and let me know if you notice something:
https://apnews.com/photo-gallery/tehran-iran-daily-life-cafe...
This is basically American propaganda.
That “moderate” narrative is nuts. Moderate Khamenei lol
That’s what the propaganda you’ve been fed since a child tells you.
The real crazy savages are not it Tehran but in TelAviv and Washington.
The Iranians are just defending themselves from monsters who still think civilized people nukes and napalms civilian population, finance Latin American and African dictatorships and torture, etc.
That’s cute, you spouting America bad gibberish while defending terrorists
what did they say that's incorrect?
Exclusive: CIA Files Prove America Helped Saddam as He Gassed Iran
https://foreignpolicy.com/2013/08/26/exclusive-cia-files-pro...
If you took the time to read the US Department of State’s annual report, Country Reports on Terrorism, you would find out that the major perpetrators of terrorism are Sunni groups, not Iran nor groups allegedly sponsored by Iran. The funding for Sunni groups comes mostly from Gulf countries that are considered allied to the US: Qatar, UAE, Saudi Arabia.
The most prolific terrorist groups in the last decade has been ISIS and their satellites, followed most of the time by groups such as The Taliban, Al-Shabaab, Maoist/Communist Party of India, Bloch Liberation Army, Haftar, Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham and other group with ZERO relationship with Iran.
It is only more recently, than Hezbollah, Ansar Allah and Hamas has been show with more proeminence in US Department of State compilation. But this is a bit complicate, because at least for Hezbollah and Ansar Allah, it is clear that they engage more with Israeli military targets, congruent with you would expect from nationalist liberation movements.
Other than the October 7th, Hamas also had stopped attacks against civillians since they took power in Gaza around 2005, and even in the October 7th we need to separate fact from israeli propaganda, as it could be argued that it was mostly an operation to kidnap Israeli soldiers to exchange with palestine prisoners in negotiations, and that a lot of the civilian deaths were caused by the reaction of the IDF itself, applying the hanibal doctrine, something you can easily do by reading Israeli newspaper such as the Haaretz. Remove the comically fake atrocity propaganda lies about supposed mass rapes and babies in ovens, and it is not that different from IRAs action against british forces in the 70s.
And no America is not bad. America did a lot of good to the world also besides the bad things. All the world used to admire and try to emulate america, I don't know a single person who have lived in America who doesn't have good things to say about the American people But... America has a big problem with an absolutely out-of-control military-inteligence-corporate subterranean parallel state, with an absolutely suicidal best-ally and a thoroughly incompetent president and war secretary.
The peaceful daughters mother's and sisters protest you think happened resulting in thousands of people killed were really men with machine guns backed by the CIA and Israel trying to give Trump justification for invading.
That is not what the videos that came out showed. Of course, now Iran has shudown the internet so information can not get in out.
Spin harder.
The truth is after the start of this war Iran has been importing Shia militias members from Iraq, Afghanistan, and Pakistan to be their enforcers because the Islamic regime does not have legitimacy with the Iranian populace.
I'd be curious to know what people think would happen if the US decided they want their government gone. The most obvious strategy is to start internet and social media campaigns first (of which the US have complete control), and second step is to fund and arm "rebels" who are willing to conquer the state from inside and hand it over to the US on a silver plate. Complete deniability, no official war declaration, no domestic debate. And if the targeted country blocks the internet or shoots the "rebels", then the entire Western press can denounce that government as an illiberal, ferocious entity that censors information and kills its own citizens.
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