I'd like to see the base rate. Ie were there similar bets at similar times when Trump did not make an announcement

Look at Adobe stock 10 minutes before the Claude Design announcement came out… the volume spike there is out of the ordinary and I find it hard to believe it’s a coincidence, someone knew something. The level of blatant insider trading at the moment is pretty wild

same, without context it is speculation. even with context, if the person creating the story controls the window, a window can be found which supports the story.