What if it's not insider trading and in fact the Trump inner circle has been compromised and foreign actors are trading on the news? You might think they wouldn't want to expose themselves just to make some money on oil futures, but at this point, they are bringing in billions.
Apply Occam's Razor to your statement and try again.
Oh I agree - the most likely scenario is someone within the inner circle trading on this insider info but my comment was more of a devil's advocate comment. If you are NK and you have hacked some Trump adjacent staffers phone, and you see the ability to make a ton of money, would you take it? The staffers aren't known for their grade A security practices.