No chance unless open weight models out of China discontinue. The gap right now is practically nonexistent.
The firms training those models have costs; without monetization they are even more unsustainable than subsidized commercial models. (Effectively, they are just a heavy form of subsidy ro overcome being commercially behind.)
The CCP wants to lead the world in AI. Market forces don't apply to the Chinese models.
Market forces won't apply to American models either if the American government bans Chinese-created models due to "national security".
When the consolidation phase starts, you bet your ass open weight models are going to stop.
I don't think consolidation will ever happen, the AI space is already dominated by a few whales.
Seems most of the open weight models are from outside the USA (shocker), going to be interesting to see how THAT shakes out.
The firms training those models have costs; without monetization they are even more unsustainable than subsidized commercial models. (Effectively, they are just a heavy form of subsidy ro overcome being commercially behind.)
The CCP wants to lead the world in AI. Market forces don't apply to the Chinese models.
Market forces won't apply to American models either if the American government bans Chinese-created models due to "national security".
When the consolidation phase starts, you bet your ass open weight models are going to stop.
I don't think consolidation will ever happen, the AI space is already dominated by a few whales.
Seems most of the open weight models are from outside the USA (shocker), going to be interesting to see how THAT shakes out.