When I went through YC in 2007 a founder whose name you know drunkenly told me at a party that Google Docs and Macbooks would have Microsoft out of business by 2012. Someone here told me in 2018 I was nuts to buy a gas-powered car because in less time than you would drive a car for, everyone will have switched to electric and there will be no gas stations left.

The impending deaths of most things are greatly exaggerated.

People overestimate the rate of change in the short run and underestimate the impact of change in the long run.

- https://www.rip-grep.com/

- https://www.rip-grep.com/microsoft

Huh, funny. I always associated ripgrep with the find/grep replacement written in Rust:

https://github.com/burntsushi/ripgrep

Wonder if it was an intentional pun.

Next: “SWE is largely solved, expect mass unemployment in the next few years”?

That's already half of the threads I see on reddit lately.

Except we're actually seeing a non-trivial reduction in SWE jobs, particularly entry-level roles.

May be short term and turn around at some point, but the current trends definitely feel lower vs. higher.

Are we? Compare to when? How about compared to the 30 year variation, not just the last 6.

In “big tech” or internet services, or also the non-tech companies that employ most engineers?

I wonder how much of that is driven by organic market forces or through anti-competitive practices.

For example, Chinese electric vehicles are selling like hotcakes in Europe but you'd be hard-pressed to find any in the US.

what was ur startup