Say that again in five years when you can't find a job except mega yatch toilet cleaner because Claude is distinguished engineer level for one millionth of your cost and thousands of times faster, and can be instantly parallelized in the tens or hundreds of thousands just to be spun down arbitrarily as needed at any time
It may be hyperbole, but it's how people genuinely feel about AI.
Qunnipiac in March found that voters like AI less than ICE. They also found that over half of Americans think AI will do more harm than good: https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3955
Maybe those AI doomers all need to touch grass. Or, maybe, the reverse is true and the minority of people who are optimistic about AI are suffering from software brain.
The transformer paper was 9 years ago. 9 years between barely translating alright between two very closely related languages (English and French, huge fraction of shared words because of William the conqueror and cultural proximity etc etc) and what we have now.
The thing is able to code up full pretty competent thousand lines projects in an hour. Even hardcore engineers use it now, as of this year. My senior front end friends already can't find jobs.
You're crazy if you think things won't change dramatically, at the scale of all of society.
It's funny because you're arguing that 1 month showing 1 variable increasing by 1 point is as reliable as 9 years with continual increase among multiple variables by multiple points when trying to extrapolate a trend.
Say that again in five years when you can't find a job except mega yatch toilet cleaner because Claude is distinguished engineer level for one millionth of your cost and thousands of times faster, and can be instantly parallelized in the tens or hundreds of thousands just to be spun down arbitrarily as needed at any time
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It may be hyperbole, but it's how people genuinely feel about AI.
Qunnipiac in March found that voters like AI less than ICE. They also found that over half of Americans think AI will do more harm than good: https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3955
A Gallup poll in February found only 18% of Gen Z participants surveyed were hopeful about AI: https://www.gallup.com/analytics/651674/gen-z-research.aspx
Maybe those AI doomers all need to touch grass. Or, maybe, the reverse is true and the minority of people who are optimistic about AI are suffering from software brain.
https://www.theverge.com/podcast/917029/software-brain-ai-ba...
He exaggerates but several studies show that AI is depressing junior hiring, and models are only going to get more competitive with humans.
The transformer paper was 9 years ago. 9 years between barely translating alright between two very closely related languages (English and French, huge fraction of shared words because of William the conqueror and cultural proximity etc etc) and what we have now.
The thing is able to code up full pretty competent thousand lines projects in an hour. Even hardcore engineers use it now, as of this year. My senior front end friends already can't find jobs.
You're crazy if you think things won't change dramatically, at the scale of all of society.
https://arxiv.org/abs/1706.03762
https://xkcd.com/605/
It's funny because you're arguing that 1 month showing 1 variable increasing by 1 point is as reliable as 9 years with continual increase among multiple variables by multiple points when trying to extrapolate a trend.