The tool that could replace git must free, ubiquitous, and arguably open-source. This is why I cannot imagine how raising $17M may pay for itself in that case, to say nothing of a 10× return.

It may be a great tool, but I'd be very reluctant to use a closed-source solution as a cornerstone of infrastructure.

I would argue it being proprietary would be completely unacceptable, for such a position of importance.

In any case, Git has become tremendously entrenched over the past couple decades. Anything that hopes to replace it would have to be significantly better to break from the inertia Git has. I’m honestly skeptical as to whether this is even possible in the near future. We’re not at all in the same historical moment as when SVN was beaten out.

yeah, it used to be that things like Perforce could still exist, because when they were created, they could do things that their OSS equivalents could not.

but since then, so many people have gotten used to the basic model that git offers (even if they still have issues with details of the syntax).

to gain a foothold in this environment is a monumental task, and anything that wasn't unambiguously libre and probably gratis too has little hope.

git's replacement won't be there because it was better at being what git is (too entrenched), but because git became redundant as the world changed around it. As agentic development takes over and people stop caring about source code, all the tooling (including languages themselves) and approaches to assist humans will be ripe for replacing with those for machines.

Exactly. Big “generals always prepare to fight the last war” energy.

JJ has a good chance, because it builds on top of git, not replacing it abruptly.

I mean it worked out for Astral who made open python tooling and got acquired by openai¹ maybe it's a new legit strategy now

1 - https://openai.com/index/openai-to-acquire-astral/

But uv is a (very-) nice-to-have tool, not the foundation.

Also, uv is open source, and can be forked if the company behind it decides to close it (see Terraform → OpenTofu, etc).

surely you've witnessed the backlash to uv as a result though