If there are advancements, they have to be described somehow.
What if the capability advancements are real and they warrant a higher level of concern or attention?
Are we just going to automatically dismiss them because "bro, you're blowing it up too much"
Either way these improvements to capabilities are ratcheting along at about the pace that many people were expecting (and were right to expect). There is no apparent reason they will stop ratcheting along any time soon.
The rational approach is probably to start behaving as if models that are as capable as Anthropic says this one is do actually exist (even if you don't believe them on this one). The capabilities will eventually arrive, most likely sooner than we all think, and you don't want to be caught with your pants down.
I believe advancements sure. But it is a very boy who cried wolf situation for some of these. There are other companies that behave less in this way, Antrhopic seem very unique in that they love making every single release a world ender
Altman called GPT-2 "too dangerous to release". Google tends to be much more measured even though they're the ones who tend to release the actual research breakthroughs
> they love making every single release a world ender
You've said this a couple of times, but it doesn't match my recollection, and I get the impression you're basically making it up based on vibes. (Please prove me wrong, though.)
Their last major frontier release was Opus 4.6, and the release announcement was... very chill about safety: https://www.anthropic.com/news/claude-opus-4-6#a-step-forwar...