The current market share shows how far you can go with just being a better Java.
If (or when? I haven't checked recently) a decent and well-thought-out LLVM backend emerges for it, ideally with some new underlying complexity seeping through, the market share might expand overnight.
And as for C++, while some complexity is certainly unavoidable, a rigorous complexity control is desperately needed. Ideally, the same way Bell Labs folks did when they initially conceived Go from Algol68 and C and similar (before or after joining Google; I couldn't tell), and Rich Hickey did when he initially designed Clojure. Some people are managing the complexity using style guides and clang-tidy checks. Which is great in that doing so doesn't need lengthy language committee decisions. But that approach hasn't been enough to make code _sufficiently_ safe; every now and then an enterprising engineer or team finds a way to abuse a feature in a way that produces unsafe or unpredictable results. Rust is a bit better and solves a few of the common problems, but sadly the list of potential issues (of using Rust in a codebase at scale; Engineers' faults, not Rust's) is long and growing. My verdict is we need both complex and simple LLVM languages, ideally co-designed to have no interop problems by design, while allowing expressing some logic in the simple parts and some logic in the complex parts. Or better, a 3 tier design would be nearly perfect: expressive config language, glue and research language, and core building blocks language. I think a clojure-style language can be designed to achieve all three.
All good, except that going forward the new languages to be designed are going to be specifications and formal verification for agents.
I think the way of classical programming languages is behind us, unless AI implodes and we are back to programming without it.