Really cool idea. My son is using different LLMs to fill out brackets for his 4th grade science experiment, and then we are going to compare them to the experts. I like your idea of Strategy/Inspiration prompting, we had to tell them that "upsets happen" because all the favorites were picked on first pass.

Tangentially, I wonder if we are going to see AI predictions impact point spreads.

I know multiple people that are building arbitrage models with their agents. i bet it makes the markets pretty efficient