But that's the thing... I don't YOLO it, I review all the code it generates, yet I personally am doing something -- using computer vision, a field I had negligible prior background in -- that would have taken a team of 2 - 3, AND about a semester or year of an advanced degree to catch up on the field! I am effectively doing the work of a team.

So when I see people online say they feel 10x productive, I tend to believe them. But I'm working solo, and have none of the encumbrances and "Conway Overhead" of coordinating with a lot of other people, so I also understand why the overall effect is so limited. Which is why I think current companies are "shaped wrong" for AI.

When companies eventually adapt, it will be a "labor economy transformation force" because the same dynamics will play out across all knowledge work. And I am not talking as an AI booster, but as a parent whose kids are interested in software engineering; I have every incentive to hope my prognostications do not come true, but I prefer being prepared for the worst.