Near zero interest rates + COVID remote work + PPP loans = Booming economy

What is happening now is the unwinding of the above. Now its:

Higher rates + AI + too many SWEs (bootcamps and over-hiring) = Busting economy

I think what we are in right now is more the norm and the post covid boom was an exception.

And also the section 174 change too, which suddenly increased the tax bill for any companies doing software development.

That has been undone now, though.

Section 174 as it stands means R&D costs companies less, not more. It would be bullish for the SWE profession. It’s still around

Has it? I haven’t seen anything about that.

I thought it was mostly rolled back for domestic R&D as part of the terribly named OBBBA.

[1]: found a ref https://www.bnncpa.com/resources/one-big-beautiful-bill-act-...