No, I agree! But I don’t think that observation gives us license to avoid the problem.
Further, I’m not sure this elevates my understanding: I’ve read many posts on this space which could be viewed as analogous to this one (this one is more tempered, of course). Each one has this same flaw: someone is telling me I need to make a “organization” out of agents and positive things will follow.
Without a serious evaluation, how am I supposed to validate the author’s ontology?
Do you disagree with my assessment? Do you view the claims in this content as solid and reproducible?
My own view is that these are “soft ideas” (GasTown, Ralph fall into a similar category) without the rigorous justification.
What this amounts to is “synthetic biology” with billion dollar probability distributions — where the incentives are setup so that companies are incentivized to convey that they have the “secret sauce” … for massive amounts of money.
To that end, it’s difficult to trust a word out of anyone’s mouth — even if my empirical experiences match (along some projection).
The multi-agent "swarm" thing (that seems to be the term that's bubbling to the top at the moment) is so new and frothy that is difficult to determine how useful it actually is.
StrongDM's implementation is the most impressive I've seen myself, but it's also incredibly expensive. Is it worth the cost?
Cursor's FastRender experiment was also interesting but also expensive for what was achieved.
I think my favorite current example at the moment was Anthropic's $20,000 C compiler from the other day. But they're an AI vendor, demos from non-vendors carry more weight.
I've seen enough to be convinced that there's something there, but I'm also confident we aren't close to figuring out the optimal way of putting this stuff to work yet.