This is big news. For decades, NOAA’s model has basically just been a huge Fortran physics simulation. Now they are making the leap to AI.

I suspect the nail in the coffin was the hurricane season, where NOAA’s model was basically beat by every major AI model. [0]

The GFS also just had its worst year in predicting hurricane paths since 2005. [1] That’s not a trend you want to continue.

[0] https://arstechnica.com/science/2025/11/googles-new-weather-...

[1] https://www.local10.com/weather/hurricane/2025/11/03/this-hu...