Gnome is quite usable on a touchscreen paradigm. As a keyboard-driven user I don't like the touchscreen paradigm anyway, but I've seen my kids use Gnome with a touchscreen and be pretty satisfied with it. For individual apps I expect we'll see either mobile-friendly UIs emerge or entirely new apps. Predicting open source is pretty tough, but that's my gut on it.

Too bad there’s not a single usable touch screen video app for gnome, the main reason I’m using it (well phosh). Browser video works well so it can be done.

So is KDE's Plasma Mobile: https://plasma-mobile.org/