What will likely break the monopoly is a Chinese competitor producing a worse but usable product within the next couple of years. AMD will be the next Compaq.

Have you looked at AMD’s financials? They are fine. Intel is massively fucking up in the CPU space and they’re benefiting from that in a big way. Yes, they’re late to GPUs, but every percentage of market share they do make inroads on is raising the boat. They’re not sinking by any means and there are more revenue streams for AMD than just CPUs/GPUs.

Indeed, but it will take more than a few years, the entire industry negging GPUs for a decade and half comes at a high price for them. And looking back historically, dominant companies like Intel had been sucking wind for over a decade before its ineptitude caught up with it. Microsoft was repeatedly punching itself in the face until Satya Nadella took over and pulled it back from the brink just by getting them to stop doing so. And a quarter century later, CSCO has nearly recovered to its dotcom peak stock value.

But Nvidia isn't inept yet, and despite some of its people being just as arrogant as Googlers at Google's prime, they still deliver a vastly better product and ecosystem than anyone else. The Chinese will crack that, but the first few generations are going to be a rough ride. Just check out the iterations on any knockoff of DeWalt tools they sell with cheaper parts until they nail the price/performance ratio to perfection to see how they roll. But also, Nvidia remains a moving target with near bottomless pockets now. Good luck with that.