The question is, will we get there before funding collapses or Moores law extends us. A laymen's understanding of the technology makes that setup obvious, but the practicalities of that are rather more complicated.
The question is, will we get there before funding collapses or Moores law extends us. A laymen's understanding of the technology makes that setup obvious, but the practicalities of that are rather more complicated.
Doesn't really matter. All of the gains made before any funding collapse will exist.
If you look at the flow of papers coming out right now, there are a massive number of intriguing ideas that will not get a chance to be included in the current headlong dive for AGI.
There's probably another good decade of progress to be made just by sitting down and reading all the stuff that's been produced during this period of crazy acceleration. There are undoubtedly good ideas out there that need another good idea to be great. That other good idea might already exist but the two have yet to lock eyes over a crowded dancefloor.