> These sorts of outlooks are notoriously hard to predict

The gut feeling you're about to lose your life savings isn't worth it for a lot of people, when I had most of my money invested it was always in the back of my mind. I cashed out and bought land/started building a multi generational house. All doubts and fear disappeared overnight, I'm for sure losing money compared to going all in on Nvidia or even btc, but I don't need any mental gymnastics to rationalize my choice.

> I cashed out and bought land/started building a multi generational house

interestingly, my wife and I have discussed this a lot too. We have 20 acres in SE Oklahoma that we got a really good deal on during the pandemic, the land is unplatted and the realtor didn't know there was water and power service already setup by the previous owner. We want to build a small cabin/house over the next couple years. It's like a retirement backup plan, "if everything goes to hell we can still go sit on our land in OK and watch the sunset..."