He won't win. How could the committee look at him, while he is actively celebrating killing people off the coast of Venezuela (whether they are smuggling drugs or not) and give him the Peace Prize.

Obama authorized 54 strikes in Pakistan in his first year, resulting in estimated 100 civilians dead. He received Nobel peace prize that year.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Drone_strikes_in_Pakistan

I guess it depends on whether or not the committee members plan on visiting the US anytime soon.

Trump isn't good enough at blackmail. Netanyahu, on the other hand...