I’m curious how unlikely it is. Seems very, very unlikely to pass by 2 major planets.

Any path it could possibly take is equally unlikely.

It is. It’s similarly unlikely that I win the lottery. But someone always does!

The situations are in no way analogous.

Sure they are. There are likely trillions of these things. We are likely gonna see them everywhere. Like scratch-off lottery cards.

We have seen 3.

Yes. In very quick succession, right after we put the tech in place to find them.

In the mid 1990s we’d only seen a handful of exoplanets. That they were basically everywhere we looked early on clued us in to their prevalence.