A closer analogy would be scribes and the printing press.
Except it doesn’t fit. For a while now we’ve had access to basically all the knowledge in the world and most people don’t use it.
Why would people make the effort to build a website using AI when they didn’t do so with any of the existing no-code options available.
They won’t.
Will dev be exactly the same in 10 years time? No.
Will there be more devs than there are now? 100%
Will experienced devs make bank? Yes.