There seems to be wishful thinking on HN where people seem very biased in general against any article that claims AI is taking jobs, and supportive by default of any article that claims it isn't. For some reason many people just refuse to accept that AI could even just be one of many reasons leading to job loss.
You're absolutely right about the HN bias, but we're also a crowd with a lot of experience in some of the jobs supposedly being replaced and with the tools supposedly replacing us, and it's a little hard to buy.
The data about new grads not being hired isn't lying, but if AI is to blame we should be seeing a flood of data and stories on how roles X, Y and Z were obliterated by AI. But I have yet to see a single solid example, so I find it hard to believe it's a massive shift.
If anything, I would expect AI to be replacing older, expensive workers with young, tech-savvy workers who can put the AI to use. But that is clearly not the case.
Well, this one isn't that rosy
> The New York Fed blog noted that the modest impact on jobs so far may not hold in the future. "Looking ahead, firms anticipate more significant layoffs and scaled-back hiring as they continue to integrate AI into their operations," New York Fed researchers wrote.
can you share some of the evidence showing that AI has caused job loss? I haven't seen any
especially when theres reports that suggest only 5% of businesses have leveraged AI for value.
The "AI revolution" seems as a cover story for covid related job cuts and likely includes losses stemming from over investing in AI supplements.
But regardless, real business data is nigh impossible to penetrate because private business is now a first class citizens and the rest of us are at it's mercies.
The best indication I've seen so far is the the study and discussion in the linked article in this HN post[1].
I agree with you in a general sense though.
[1] https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=45121342
At least in western Europe it doesn’t look like ai is taking over anything. Maybe in the US it is different
EU doesn't have the fixed number cap that H1Bs have in the US, so they can hire unlimited people from abroad to suppress wages, no need for AI.