Would you really use Google products to write your email if you knew that they were watermarking it like this?
I think this technology is gonna quickly get eliminated from the marketplace, cause people aren’t willing to use AI for many common tasks that are watermarked this way. It’s ultimately gonna cause Google to lose share.
This technology has a basic use dilemma problem where widely publishing it’s ability and existence will cause your AI to stop being used in some applications
People use much more invasive tools than that. If it works, they don’t care.
I think it’s weirder that they’re clamoring to give people tools to detect AI while clamoring to present AI-generated content as perfectly normal— no different than if the user had typed it in themselves.
Have you weighed factors that would push in the other direction? This requires a synthesis, and it requires breaking out of the tendency to only think about factors that support one narrative.
To the extent watermarking technology builds trust and confidence in a product, this is a factor that moves against your prediction.
Talk is cheap. People sometimes make predictions just as easily as they generate words.
While I want to believe this is true, the experience of being human over the past decade or so suggests otherwise. I think, overall, most people would not even begin this line of inquiry; not to mention care once the thought is considered.
Maybe not initially but over time, I believe this will be the case.