I think the solution is to knock them down to a point that they are like India or Russia.
Just big countries but stuck.
I wouldn’t mind if we could make some plays to revamp Japan and some EU, and maybe grow India while boxing China and Russia together.
As long as those countries have governments that aren’t on our side or at least sympathetic to our vision, they should be kept in check hard. Like manufacturing stuff for us but not really being able to use any of it. Sounds harsh but that’s reality. Nothing personal lol
All they’ve done is steal anyway and extracting knowledge from us after we showed them how to make a factory (reductionist but idc), so it’s not like we would be “morally” wrong.
I often browse Hacker News and like it here. As a young Chinese entrepreneur, comments like these make me feel frustrated. China has a large wealth gap, and we have many people with lower education levels who earn meager wages through manual labor to support their families, highly dependent on manufacturing for income. In a sense, they are somewhat like the American Rust Belt before the loss of manufacturing (though they probably don't live as well as Americans, as they can afford neither homes nor cars). The setbacks manufacturing faces in international trade are making their lives even worse. I can roughly understand why you made such a comment, because many friendly and kind people around you are, or have been, worse off due to the competition between our countries. The people around me are also friendly and kind, and I think the best outcome should be for all of us to live better, rather than one side getting better at the expense of the other. I think we should find ways to develop that benefit everyone, because we are all human, and those who are awake when you are sleeping are not bad people.
I would agree with you, if I didn't hear many times about Chinese government repressing other nations just for being near China and not being fully Chinese. Maybe people near you are kind and friendly and I would like to help them, but I'm afraid that some Chinese people with guns will also come to me. How would you solve that problem?
This same argument you laid out here also works if you replace "Chinese" with "US".
For much of the globe, the US is the bad guy/bully, and not the "world policeman" - epecially in countries they bombed (like my country).
With recent US administration changes, this attitude is also becoming more prominent in countries which used to consider the US to be an ally!
All big countries do that, look at the US meddling with the while of South America and the Middle East. China does the same.
Does that mean I can help Americans and Chinese (and maybe Russians too), because everyone is doing bad things? Like IBM provided equipment to nazis during WW2? Business is business, right?
You can help whomever, but I suggest doing things to push powers to do less harm. I don’t think we should argue against more international cooperation with the argument that any party is or has committed atrocities, otherwise the only international collaboration that will takr place will be between states too small to be useful.
Although the Putin regime can enter the sea and never return.
> You can help whomever, but I suggest doing things to push powers to do less harm.
I'm so comically bad at pushing powers to do anything that even my wife doesn't listen to me. From what I've seen, most people making things are bad at demanding things from others. Those who are good at demanding things from others don't really need to make things themselves.
What precisely do you mean in regards to South America? Or are you referencing 19th century policies?
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_involvement_in...
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foreign_interventions_by_the...
There are lots more.
1954 - The USA overthrew a democratic government in Guatemala and replaced it with a violent dictatorship so that we could keep getting cheap bananas.
Just yesterday: https://apnews.com/article/trump-venezuela-destroyers-maduro...
You took the bait.
The person you're replying to would much rather have a discussion about the well-documented atrocities of a waning American empire than the far less documented atrocities of a waxing Chinese Empire that has no democratic institutions to keep it in check.
You act like our democratic instutions keep us in check. Note how most of our disruption in central america came from actions by clandestine intelligence agencies that are unaccountable to the democratic american government. Yes, there are two governments in the U.S: the one the public elects and then the one that the public is never to fully learn about.
Bro they intervened in Guatemala because in almost every case where communism was preferred over capitalism that country went to shit and became a backwater.
Commi didn’t work as an experiment after all those death camps and purges anyway. And anyone “communist” today is basically authoritarian capitalist with mini purges and dictators. They take Jack Ma to a “camp” and factory reset him or put all the Muslims out west in a prison city.
America has to play the way it does sometimes because the lobby is dominated by cheaters and toxic scumbags who don’t want to actually score points and win.
Guatemala and El Salvador, famously thriving countries today. Glad we stirred the pot and shipped weapons into the conflict zone that are still there.
They would have been worse off. There are like 200 or so countries. I don’t know more than the top 10 or so because unfortunately it’s not relevant.
Yup, human progress is positive-sum in the long run. It only looks zero-sum because of short-term politics.
Positive-sum yes, but win-win not so reliably.
Positive-sum doesn't necessarily mean everyone wins. Just that in aggregate things improve.
In fact, for any significant policy change, there will be losers.
And lots of very long term systemic dysfunction, with powerful interests reinforcing that dysfunction, tilting positive returns toward themselves, and negative returns onto others.
I feel for you, there is no easy solution:
“ China has a large wealth gap, and we have many people with lower education levels who earn meager wages through manual labor to support their families.”
This is the crux of the issue, people too close to extreme poverty couldn’t care less about the IP institutions that led to mass technological development that they or their child will benefit from.
To me, it’s analogous to how very poor people treat the environment very poorly because they have no mental bandwidth to care. The best way to help in that case is to raise wages.
People are frustrated with the CCP because devaluing the currency is intentional massive wage theft which keeps the population near poverty with the negative aftereffects.
If this goes on long enough (which it might have), humanity at large suffers if people refuse to invest in technology of the future or everyone starts putting up trade barriers because the lost investments are too painful.
> The best way to help in that case is to raise wages.
How to raise those wages without enough money? I think money are created from making products. If you just increase wages without changing anything other (like making more products or more expensive products), it means you increase inflation, which is essentially redistribution of money from everyone to those poorer people.
I think the solution is investment into more high and practical education, so that people actually can work more productively and make more money that way. But current accounting practices seem to not see this way, so money are not allocated for such education.
Increasing wages spurs consumers which generates wealth due to money velocity.
Yes, this goes back to that fundamental and long-debated question: How do we eliminate poverty?
I've studied some sociological and economic theories, and I generally understand that this problem is very difficult to solve.
From my perspective, China's biggest problem right now is actually unequal distribution (especially between different regions), and it's sad to see such a problem in a socialist country.
I really hope our government can truly commit to solving such inter-regional distribution problems, instead of just shouting slogans and doing nothing (which they often do).
I have many classmates from underdeveloped regions who come to Beijing for university and then never return to their hometowns because there are simply no opportunities there. Major resources are concentrated in a few large cities.
I don't know if this is a common characteristic of East Asian countries (Tokyo is also very large, and small cities in Japan are also declining). However, Japan's Gini coefficient is very low, and I think we should learn from Japan in this regard.
I have no problem with anyone individually. I'm sure we'd all get along just fine on that level.
The issue is your gov. Same as Russia or anyone else. People are the same individually, but collectively we are not. The Lakers don’t invite the Celtics to a BBQ instead of competing on the court just because they both love shooting hoops.
You are an entrepreneur? You should come to America if you love free-r markets and entrepreneurship. You do know that you can far more easily start a company in America as a Chinese national, than I could in China as an American citizen right? We are all the same people if we go grab a bite or show each other our favorite music videos, but on a global stage we are not the same as NATIONS. That is the key distinction.
As an American, I believe that our way of life, our Constitution, and our proven ability to take all sorts of people and make our nation greater because of it is the epitome of human civilization so far. Others have had thousands of years, still failed to do much. We've only been around since 1776 and been through our own very hard lessons (Civil War, civil rights, Vietnam), though I would argue on a objective scale nowhere close to CCP or Russians..
A quick peek at recent CCP history (hey, we all have skeletons in the closet like I already conceded) shows 10s of millions of their own people murdered in purges (we can argue if it was 10 million or 40 million or 80 million, and it would be totally absurd), Tiananmen Square Massacre, Jack Ma's treatment, drowning Filipino fishermen and other S. China Sea free trade disruptions, and most recently a possible invasion of Taiwan. The possibility of a PLA invasion of Taiwan is why America has invested billions into building chip factories on-shore. As soon as the PLA launches, Taiwan is forced to destroy its own chip factories and other critical infrastructure.
I have zero faith that a CCP dominated world would be a net benefit. It is an exclusionary repressive government, it likes to purge its people randomly, and in general is just not easy to get along with. It also has a boardroom despot that's a dictator. Same thing with Russians, they have been under the rule of some truly awful people and that's just how it is at the end of the day, nothing personal.
I don't need to go on a VPN and be afraid to speak my mind here because being honest about our shortcomings and past is how we forge an actually better tomorrow.
The US also exports culture. I've been around the world, and I see people wearing NBA jerseys or going crazy in the theater watching Marvel movies with subtitles. Even the media in other countries is so heavily derivative of American culture, like pop idol bands or any TV show literally looks like American media from 10-20 years ago but in a different language that I enjoy with subtitles because it is nice to hear a different language and see the scenery there. (Really brings to light what I meant about copy/pasting or stealing from us, in literally every regard though)
They love being American, and acting like it too sometimes. That’s the beauty of America, that anyone can join (legally if physically, otherwise just vibing), and it only makes us stronger. I don’t see anyone lining up to "be Chinese" or "be Russian" in the same way, almost always the other way around. Even our biggest haters are rocking American fashion with their fighter kits lol.
> I don't need to go on a VPN and be afraid to speak my mind here
Well, so long as they don't crack down on VPNs here, like the UK is discussing.
For a non-Westerner, the issue is always the American gov, not the average American (or maybe since the American gov is actually voted for by Americans, the issue is with them after all?). At least the Chinese and Russians are not willfully voting for a government hell-bent on global dominance and destabilizing other countries.
The America of yesteryears? Sure. Today's America? Definitely not.
The Chinese can’t vote…
Precisely.
They aren’t voting because they are under dictators and sham pretend structures lol. They are sort of just pawns I guess? None of them will ever become self made. Tencent/Huawei or anyone else needs to stay in line with CCP and whatever decisions they make. In America businessmen are free to criticize anyone. Look what happens to Chinese entrepreneurs who get a little too successful and forget the CCP. They go to a camp and then come out with a factory reset lmao! Russians fall out of windows weekly it seems.
I mean Russia invaded Ukraine. China has literal concentration camps for Muslims and plans to invade Taiwan.
The USA invaded Iraq and Afghanistan, both of which don't have the faintest connection to the US mainland in any form, either culturally or otherwise.
The US has also launched bombing runs in Syria and Libya, again both of which have the faintest connection to the average American's daily life, all in the pursuit of some boogieman War on Terror.
The US has engaged in military coups to overthrow democratic governments in nearly every Latin American country.
And to crown its Opus, the US has now begun building concentration camps (once again), both on its own soil and in foreign territory.
> They are sort of just pawns I guess? None of them will ever become self made. Look what happens to Chinese entrepreneurs who get a little too successful and forget the CCP. They go to a camp and then come out with a factory reset lmao! Russians fall out of windows weekly it seems.
Sure, while the US extends the favor to foreign nationals and kidnaps them to torture them at Guantanamo, often supplied to them willingly by their British vassals. There's a poignant recorded letter in the Guardian of a young child's letter to Tony Blair asking to return his father from Guantanamo.
I like how you repeat talking points instead of conceding anything like I did.
It’s why America and her people (whether they were born here or immigrated here to become American) are greater than anyone else. We accept our faults, and yet we still strive to build a better world.
And when dealing with such scenarios, whether in business or geopolitics, I’m always partial to the genuine winner who gave an actual shit.
> We accept our faults, and yet we still strive to build a better world.
Or do you? There's a significant fraction of America that is clear-cut evidence of the contrary. Your statement alone is a blatant display of misplaced American exceptionalism.
> I’m always partial to the genuine winner who gave an actual shit.
Might want to broaden your scope a bit outside your country then. Check out the following map fyi: https://brilliantmaps.com/threat-to-peace/ Most foreign citizens actively disagree with your assumptions. And since that map is now a bit dated, we ought to add Canada and Denmark to the list too.
Again, I'm nowhere asserting that China and Russia are models to aspire to. But calling today's America as the shining beacon of democracy and capitalism that every nation should aspire to is a bit of a farce. Especially given that your richest and best are secretly seeking citizenship in European nations.
Buddy, we vote here every 4 years for a new figurehead. America has been through way more tumultuous shit in the past (1860 civil war? hello like 700k Americans died in that) and got out of it way stronger.
Go talk doo-doo about Xi (if you can even do that), you'll get camped or your family might get rm -rf'd. Same with Putin, Kim Dong or whoever else from a authoritarian regime.
People are free to criticize in America. I know that's a luxury belief that most people won't ever know, but that's also why things are luxuries. Once you have them, it is hard to go back to Target or whatever.
If America was to go mask off and cheat by become Authoritarian like Xi or Putin, we'd wipe the floor in like 20 years tops and everyone will unite under our beautiful flag.
We're better than that though. Hell, we fought ourselves and came out BETTER for it, instead of becoming commies or other losers. We even held ourselves accountable for actions we took in the past, something our authoritarian "rivals" would never concede because they know they're wack.
Yes, there's no doubt I envy these advantages of your country.
By the way, I'm replying to your comment via a proxy server in Los Angeles, HN is also not directly accessible in China. I think this is why I didn't truly understand many things until my twenties, which is a pity.
I also hope we can have a democratic government, at least one that allows free access to information and freedom of political expression.
But this conflicts with the interests of those with vested interests, who fear that giving people a little freedom will cause them to lose the wealth they gained through illicit means. I think this is unjust, but I don't know what to do.
Even Jack Ma was punished for saying the wrong thing and disappeared from public view for several years. He's the one who created Taobao and Alipay; an entrepreneur like that would be respected in the US and would have the opportunity to tell young people in the public eye: you shouldn't sigh, there are many opportunities in this world. But the truth is, the mainstream voice only teaches everyone to obey, and successful and visionary people are gradually leaving this country.
However, I see that the United States seems very chaotic, and for my personal safety, I probably won't consider going there. I really like American culture, especially Silicon Valley culture, but I might consider Singapore or Australia as better immigration destinations. Perhaps the situation in Silicon Valley is different from those chaotic neighborhoods? I'm not in the US, so I don't know much about it. I wish someone could tell me, haha.
It’s hard to know what to believe about any country. In the US, the media only makes money if they exaggerate threats and focus on the one burning trashcan during a city wide protest.
So you think the USA should interfere in a sovereign nation to intentionally and drastically damage their economy, industry, and quality of life?
Because the US can't get their collective heads out of their asses to build a competitive industry?
The USA is losing this imagined fight with China, and the solution is not to destroy an entire nation, but to actually become competitive.
Sure, let's just fucking nuke every country that's more successful than us. That'll show them!
Americans are absolutely fucking insane.
It was because they backstabbed us. We showed them how factories work and helped them set up manufacturing back in the day so we could be cooperation partners.
Instead we were backstabbed by the CCP through IP theft and other corporate espionage. Yes America wanted a cheaper manufacturing partner and China at the time when “real communism” was fading seemed like a good partner to onboard for the new century ahead.
I don’t think Americans are insane. It’s that Americans have to live in a world dominated by warlords, weirdos (Kim Jon Un and others like him), shithead dictators and religious zealots.
We aspire to achieve greatness and manifest destiny. Meanwhile we are blocked by literally everyone else who can’t get their shit together.
So yes, it’s necessary for our end goals. I don’t think it’s as bad as what others were already doing to each other before our intervention (hey nothing is perfect and punching up is easy af). It’s not like others don’t benefit. I’m sure for the majority where it worked out they like the GDP boost and using American tech and services. Or they can also copy what we tried and worked and try implementing it there.
While we are building cool stuff, we have to live in a mostly evil world with awful dictators and zealots of all sorts (commies, sky daddy, etc).
It took Europe 50 years to chill tf out and we had to bail them out each time they kicked off a world war. Most of the world is still not a desirable place to live (it’s why my parents moved from a hellhole to here for a better life).
If some people think we are crazy then I suggest they don’t come here for education (even if they plan to go back) or work. Save the room for someone else who actually wants to join the American journey.
> we showed.. > we aspire... > we were backstabbed... > we are blocked... > we are building... > we have to... > we had to... > we are crazy...
It's not 'we,' it's just your opinion, comrade. If the USA were actually run by people with views the same as yours, it'd be no different from Russia or China. But thankfully, there are still many who get that life is about collaboration and compromise, who don't live in fear nor have the dream of domination.
Of course I’m pro diplomacy.
I’m just stating my honest beliefs. Geopolitics or business is won through communication but it’s not “bruh we are all one dawg” because been there done that, most of the world would rather kill each other over dumb shit.
Since we believe in higher ideals, we have to do what’s necessary. Do you think the deals made are 1:1? Or does power imbalance play a huge role in getting a 3:1?
Come on dude.
How do you expect them to manufacture stuff but not learn from it in the process?
That’s not what I meant, sorry my sentence structure was bad and I meant that in return for giving them factories they only continued to push the boundaries. It was IP thefts and infiltrating our top secrets because America is a far more open society than PRC.
Fact: They are the ones who escalated into IP theft and espionage.
As for manufacturing but not learning from it…
Oligarchies stemming from massive but continued financial shocks will curb innovation because survival trumps ambition. They are rivals until they’re on our side, and as such if they’re kept financially insecure they will not have the appetite to steal I mean innovate anymore. People want just a job, food, and shelter. CCP already provides education and healthcare. But adversarial global ambitions need to be checked.
I can't think of any way you could effect this. They have more industrial capacity and increasingly more research than the US.
Heck I don't think India is going to be stuck for very long