> Even if they do get better. The latest closed-source {gemini|anthropic|openai} model will always be insanely good and it would be dumb to use a local one from 3 years back.

If they use a hosted model, they’ll probably pin everything initially to, at best, the second newest model from their chosen provider (the newest being insufficiently proven) and update models to something similarly behind only when the older model goes completely out of support.