George Hinton the person largely responsible about the AI revolution has this to say:

https://www.reddit.com/r/singularity/comments/1lbbg0x/geoffr...

https://youtu.be/qrvK_KuIeJk?t=284

In that video above George Hinton, directly says we don't understand how it works.

So I don't speak just for myself. I speak for the person who ushered in the AI revolution, I speak for Experts in the field who know what they're talking aboutt. I don't speak for people who don't know what they're talking about.

Even though we know it's a feedforward network and we know how the queries are tokenized you cannot tell me what an LLM would say nor tell me why an LLM said something for a given prompt showing that we can't fully control an LLM because we don't fully understand it.

Don't try to just argue with me. Argue with the experts. Argue with the people who know more than you, Hinton.

Hinton invented the neural network, which is not the same as the transformer architecture used in LLMs. Asking him about LLM architectures is like asking Henry Ford if he can build a car from a bunch of scrap metal; of course he can't. He might understand the engine or the bodywork, but it's not his job to know the whole process. Nor is it Hinton's.

And that's okay - his humility isn't holding anyone back here. I'm not claiming to have memorized every model weight ever published, either. But saying that we don't know how AI works is empirically false; AI genuinely wouldn't exist if we weren't able to interpret and improve upon the transformer architecture. Your statement here is a dangerous extrapolation.

> you cannot tell me what an LLM would say nor tell me why an LLM said something for a given prompt showing that we can't fully control an LLM because we don't fully understand it.

You'd think this, but it's actually wrong. If you remove all of the seeded RNG during inference (meaning; no random seeds, no temps, just weights/tokenizer), you can actually create an equation that deterministically gives you the same string of text every time. It's a lot of math, but it's wholly possible to compute exactly what AI would say ahead of time if you can solve for the non-deterministic seeded entropy, or remove it entirely.

LLM weights and tokenizer are both always idempotent, the inference software often introduces variability for more varied responses. Just so we're on the same page here.

> If you remove all of the seeded RNG during inference (meaning; no random seeds, no temps, just weights/tokenizer), you can actually create an equation that deterministically gives you the same string of text every time.

That answers the "what", but not the "why" nor the "how exactly", with the latter being crucial to any claim that we understand how these things actually work.

If we actually did understand that, we wouldn't need to throw terabytes of data on them to train them - we'd just derive that very equation directly. Or, at the very least, we would know how to do so in principle. But we don't.

> But saying that we don't know how AI works is empirically false;

Your statement completely contradicts hintons statement. You didn’t even address his point. Basically you’re saying Hinton is wrong and you know better than him. If so, counter his argument don’t restate your argument in the form of an analogy.

> You'd think this, but it's actually wrong.

No you’re just trying to twist what I’m saying into something that’s wrong. First I never said it’s not deterministic. All computers are deterministic, even RNGs. I’m saying we have no theory about it. A plane for example you can predict its motion via a theory. The theory allows us to understand and control an airplane and predict its motion. We have nothing for an LLM. No theory that helps us predict, no theory that helps us fully control and no theory that helps us understand it beyond the high level abstraction of a best fit curve in multidimensional space. All we have is an algorithm that allows an LLM to self assemble as a side effect from emergent effects.

Rest assured I understand the transformer as much as you do (which is to say humanity has limited understanding of it) you don’t need to assume I’m just going off hintons statements. He and I knows and understands LLMs as much as you even though we didnt invent it. Please address what I said and what he said with a counter argument and not an analogy that just reiterates an identical point.