From what I remember full self driving cars were a couple years off in 2010.

It took 10-15 years to get self driving cars in a specific country under specific weather conditions. A country that is perhaps the most car-friendly on the planet. Also, there are always people monitoring the vehicles, and that take control sometimes.

How many more years for waymo Quito or waymo Kolkata? What about just $europeanCapital?

Same with LLMs, I'm sure in 10 years they'll be good enough to replace certain specific tasks, to the detriment of recent graduates, especially those of artistic aspiration. Not sure they'll ever get to the point where someone who actually knows what they're doing doesn't need to supervise and correct.